[新聞] 信網紅9月必跌…他40歲「慘賠1650萬」財富歸零 專家點3大致命錯誤
原文標題:
信網紅9月必跌…他40歲「慘賠1650萬」財富歸零 專家點3大致命錯誤
原文連結:
https://finance.ettoday.net/news/3032624
發布時間:
2025-09-12
記者署名:
閔文昱
原文內容:
近期台股在降息預期下不斷創高,一名網友卻在Threads發文,坦言因跟隨財經網紅「9月
股市常跌」的說法,大舉做空台指期,最終虧損高達1650萬元,被迫停損出場,感嘆40歲
財富歸零,貼文曝光後引發熱議。對此,有財經專家也點出3大致命錯誤,並奉勸「市場
活著最重要」。
一名網友近日在Threads發文分享,他先前觀察多位財經網紅的分析,多數人認為9月台股
歷史上多有下跌,因此自認24400點應是近期高點,開始進場做空,過程中一開始還有獲
利,之後卻不斷加碼空單,導致風險逐步擴大。當台股出現連續上漲、單日大漲400點時
,他心情愈發焦慮,但資金已難以補足保證金,只能選擇認賠出場。
該網友感嘆,原本期待美股未創新高時台股會回落,加上市場對降息預期,沒想到行情持
續上揚,自己只得全數停損,剩餘資金還得拿去還債,「再也沒有機會翻身」。為此,他
也呼籲投資人「不要預測高點」,並對對網紅的技術分析、歷史比對應保持懷疑態度,市
場人氣旺盛時反而風險更大,不要盲目跟隨群眾,應以自身經驗為戒。
貼文曝光後,瞬間引發財經圈熱烈討論。投資部落客「邏輯投資」就分析,這名投資人案
例反映了幾個常見錯誤。第一是盲信網紅觀點,忽略風險控管,他因聽信「9月通常會跌
」便孤注一擲做空,卻忘了市場走勢瞬息萬變,「比起追求正確觀點,風險控管更為重要
」。
第二是賭徒心態導致逆勢加碼,一開始小賺便不斷加空,最後虧損遠超可承受範圍,且沒
有嚴守停損紀律,「越凹越大」終至全軍覆沒。第三是預設高點與事後合理化,認定
24400點就是頂部,卻無決策系統與知識體系支撐,只能事後自我安慰。
邏輯投資強調,真正能在市場存活的,都是遵守紀律、避免情緒化操作的人,若無心研究
選股或交易策略,「採取長期被動投資,如佈局VT、VOO,或許更為合理」。
另外,臉書粉專「善甲狼a機智生活」則提醒投資人四件事:第一,不要執著抓高低點,
市場沒有絕對頂底,重點是能否承受漲跌。第二,網紅的話聽聽就好,無論「歷史統計」
還是「報牌」,都不能成為唯一依據。第三,別孤注一擲,真正的大資金操盤手很少把自
己逼到睡不著,能長久活下來的才是真本事。第四,把這次當成繳學費,「帶著債與翻身
心態急著回市場,只會再爆一次」,建議先顧好生活與心態,再考慮重返投資。
心得/評論:
https://i.imgur.com/51MnnfR.png

空蛙墜機了?
不過要賠1650萬大概也要60口吧
還是當幸福多蛙買現貨好
跌到萬七還可以凹單
這個空蛙才漲沒多少就爆炸了
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