[心得] 股市的錢都是有錢大戶賺走的吧
以ㄧ千萬資金為例,正常人是不可能天天All in資金做投資,假設平均投入7-8成水位在
股市,投入資金也不過是700-800萬而已,即使年獲利平均2成計算(沒有天天過年,也要
計入熊市虧損),ㄧ年最好也不過賺個100多萬,還要有虧損或套牢留倉的現金流壓力,
真的不如認真找份工作好好幹,其實年薪百萬不會太困難。
此時若有投資人忍不住透過槓桿投資(融資、融券、質押)或期權甚至衍生性金融商品交
易,希望能增加獲利,殊不知只是成為大戶的韭菜而已,以2024/7-8月為例,ㄧ個月不到
先回檔20%(指數從24,000多點跌破2萬點),再回升10%(跌破2萬點再回升至22,000點以
上),先殺多再嘎空,許多融資券投資人直接被斷頭,本金腰斬的不在少數。
再舉個例子,若投入資金只有幾百萬的小資投資者,要怎麼分散投資及避險?台積電ㄧ張
近百萬,聯發科ㄧ張100多萬,若看好AI概念股,即使各買一張就數百萬元了,要怎麼買
其他族群避險?若買零股又會被券商吃價差豆腐,最後只能被迫重壓同質概念股。
所以不要以為本金1,000萬跟1億甚至10億,平均年報酬率10%是同等難度,透過分散投資
跟無槓桿操作,若只要求年獲利平均10%,大資金是很容易達到的,再透過72法則,每次
只要7年初,投入本金又再次翻倍。
講白了點,對於本金數千萬甚至是數億的大佬來說,小投資者的槓桿操作也只是大戶本金
的尾數而已,要怎麼鬥?
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