[心得] 美股我為什麼看到20000點?已回收
你如果有興趣研究,會發現這十年來到底發生了什麼事? 美元在2003年開始弱勢,
尤其是量化寬鬆後,很多資金流向原物料,原油,黃金,甚至他國地產,
造成這些標的不斷上漲,美股雖然有漲,但是是反應經濟復甦的上漲,
跟這些東西相比根本就是小巫見大巫.
現在則是出現類似1990年代全世界的資金都往美國流入的情況,原物料不斷走跌,
美元升值,不只帶動資金進來,造成美股一路創新高,連房價也出現兩位數年增率,
這樣的漲幅跟其他國家相比已經樂勝,匯率升值加上股房雙漲,
再加上明年通縮隱憂,美國有機會躲過下,也讓美國成為資金避風港,
至於美股有沒機會出現1990年代的泡沫行情? 這不是沒有可能,
而目前美股本益比不及17倍,如以高標20倍來看,
20000點應是合理結果,什麼時候會爆? 總有一天要爆,但那天應該還早..
--
※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc), 來自: 1.164.141.113
※ 文章網址: http://www.ptt.cc/bbs/Stock/M.1415638265.A.116.html
噓
11/11 00:52, , 1F
11/11 00:52, 1F
→
11/11 00:53, , 2F
11/11 00:53, 2F
推
11/11 00:53, , 3F
11/11 00:53, 3F
→
11/11 00:55, , 4F
11/11 00:55, 4F
→
11/11 00:55, , 5F
11/11 00:55, 5F
推
11/11 00:57, , 6F
11/11 00:57, 6F
→
11/11 01:00, , 7F
11/11 01:00, 7F
推
11/11 01:03, , 8F
11/11 01:03, 8F
推
11/11 01:04, , 9F
11/11 01:04, 9F
推
11/11 01:07, , 10F
11/11 01:07, 10F
噓
11/11 01:12, , 11F
11/11 01:12, 11F
噓
11/11 01:19, , 12F
11/11 01:19, 12F
噓
11/11 01:23, , 13F
11/11 01:23, 13F
噓
11/11 01:34, , 14F
11/11 01:34, 14F
推
11/11 01:48, , 15F
11/11 01:48, 15F
推
11/11 02:01, , 16F
11/11 02:01, 16F
推
11/11 02:03, , 17F
11/11 02:03, 17F
噓
11/11 07:52, , 18F
11/11 07:52, 18F
→
11/11 07:54, , 19F
11/11 07:54, 19F
推
11/11 07:58, , 20F
11/11 07:58, 20F
推
11/11 08:04, , 21F
11/11 08:04, 21F
推
11/11 08:06, , 22F
11/11 08:06, 22F
→
11/11 10:43, , 23F
11/11 10:43, 23F
推
11/11 10:43, , 24F
11/11 10:43, 24F
推
11/11 11:17, , 25F
11/11 11:17, 25F
→
11/11 12:22, , 26F
11/11 12:22, 26F
→
11/11 12:23, , 27F
11/11 12:23, 27F
→
11/11 12:23, , 28F
11/11 12:23, 28F
→
11/11 12:23, , 29F
11/11 12:23, 29F
→
11/11 12:24, , 30F
11/11 12:24, 30F
→
11/11 12:24, , 31F
11/11 12:24, 31F
→
11/11 12:27, , 32F
11/11 12:27, 32F
→
11/11 12:27, , 33F
11/11 12:27, 33F
→
11/11 12:39, , 34F
11/11 12:39, 34F
→
11/11 13:01, , 35F
11/11 13:01, 35F
→
11/11 13:01, , 36F
11/11 13:01, 36F
→
11/11 13:03, , 37F
11/11 13:03, 37F
→
11/11 13:03, , 38F
11/11 13:03, 38F
噓
11/11 13:12, , 39F
11/11 13:12, 39F
→
11/11 21:19, , 40F
11/11 21:19, 40F
噓
11/12 15:54, , 41F
11/12 15:54, 41F
Stock 近期熱門文章
PTT職涯區 即時熱門文章
