Re: [標的] 大盤
看板Stock (股票)作者aitt (一個人的中年,我很好(M))時間7年前 (2017/02/13 23:23)推噓43(47推 4噓 21→)留言72則, 56人參與討論串40/237 (看更多)
行情上萬點我可以做個簡單沙盤推演會如何發展,總之或許不會一次過,
但以今年經濟展望樂觀下最終會過,而且還要提醒各位'台股萬點才開始'
萬點之下的台股還只是開著國產車,到了萬點以上會改開保時捷,
到時候上漲的速度會比現在快上兩倍多,量能也會暴增許多.
台股若上萬點,可以預料的是散戶會加碼狂放空,但是只要法人不鬆手,
這些空單被軋到後會成為行情很大的助力,不只軋散戶,還會軋自營商,
自營商發行一堆認購權證到了上萬點後見回不回,
恐怕會逼得他們買股避險,以免這些權證落入價內甚至深度價內,
你想這樣的軋空力道會如何? 當然還有一些空手的法人也會被迫回補持股,
到了那個時候,你就會發現9000-10000要走一年,10000-11000只要走一個多月.
論型態也是如此,日周月指標同時高檔鈍化,以往經驗至少是再漲20%往上起跳,
與年線的正乖離率也才不到10%,多頭市場極大值常常可以達到20%-25%以上,
總之,萬點以下都是好買點,就算上了萬點,還是要懂得找買點,
至少在大幅反轉訊號(像是日量能超過2500億長黑啦,中華電信突然連日大漲啦,
融資開始一天增加4-50億啦之類的)都應該要站在多方,
畢竟能爆發大行情的機會可不多.
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