[標的] 大盤
看板Stock (股票)作者aitt (一個人的中年,我很好(M))時間7年前 (2017/03/01 23:36)推噓67(79推 12噓 32→)留言123則, 94人參與討論串41/237 (看更多)
1. 標的:大盤
2. 分類:多/空/請益/心得:多/強勢震盪整理後過萬點
3. 分析/正文:行情來到接近萬點之處拉回,雖然看似是理所當然,
但以今年的經濟基本面(經濟成長很有機會寫下3%以上中度成長)
乃至上市公司獲利成長力道,以及國際股市欣欣向榮的表現,
萬點不會是台股今年的高點所在.
技術面上原本的上升壓力線9600-9650已經成為支撐,中線支撐亦上移至9450-9500,
加上目前周月指標都在上月同時形成高檔鈍化,依過去的經驗只要發生,
接下來行情都是起碼再漲個千點以上,外資近期小幅調節現貨,
期權避險部位稍稍增加,但未來到警戒值,並非真的翻空,
總而言之,台股近日看似弱勢的表現不過是個短線上的回吐,
中長線波段主要架構仍是偏多,國際盤未有明顯警訊出現時,
仍應把握機會低接買進,當市場都普遍有著萬點高點的共識時,
那就不會是真正的高點,反而會在過萬點後再軋一大段.
4. 進退場機制:9600-9650有守思維上仍以多方思考,遇回即偏多操作,
站回9760短多可望再度轉強,一鼓作氣轉為盤堅挑戰萬點,
波段停損可置9450,萬點附近如量能明顯萎縮,或出現異常量不漲(日量1800億以上)
可先停利減碼部分再行低接,反之如未見此狀況,甚或見到空單大增時,
則直接過關後出現強軋機率大增,反應抱緊持股坐等過萬點後的軋空行情.
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