[新聞] 油價因伊朗衝突暴漲10%，分析師稱可能飆升至每桶 100 美元

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原文標題： Oil jumps 10% on Iran conflict and could spike to $100 a barrel, analysts say 中文翻譯標題：油價因伊朗衝突暴漲 10%，分析師稱可能飆升至每桶 100 美元原文連結： https://reurl.cc/dqdObg 發布時間： March 1, 2026 8:44 PM GMT+8 記者署名：路透社 Seher Dareen and Dmitry Zhdannikov 原文內容： LONDON, March 1 (Reuters) - Brent crude jumped 10% to about $80 a barrel over the counter on Sunday, oil traders said, while analysts predicted that prices could climb as high as $100 after U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran plunged the Middle East into a new war. 倫敦，3 月 1 日（路透社） —— 石油交易員表示，週日布蘭特原油場外交易價格暴漲 10% 至每桶約 80 美元；同時分析師預測，在美國與以色列對伊朗發動襲擊、使中東陷入新戰爭後，油價可能會攀升至 100 美元的高位。 "While the military attacks are themselves supportive for oil prices, the key factor here is the closing of the Strait of Hormuz," said Ajay Parmar, director of energy and refining at ICIS. 「雖然軍事攻擊本身對油價有支撐作用，但這裡的關鍵因素是霍爾木茲海峽（Strait of Hormuz）的關閉，」ICIS 能源與煉油總監 Ajay Parmar 表示。 Most tanker owners, oil majors and trading houses have suspended crude oil, fuel and liquefied natural gas shipments via the Strait of Hormuz, trade sources said, after Tehran warned ships against moving through the waterway. More than 20% of global oil is moved through the Strait of Hormuz. 貿易消息人士指出，在德黑蘭（伊朗政府）警告船隻不要通過該水道後，大多數油輪船東、石油巨頭和貿易公司已暫停經由霍爾木茲海峽運輸原油、燃料和液化天然氣。全球超過 20% 的石油運輸需經過霍爾木茲海峽。 "We expect prices to open (after the weekend) much closer to $100 a barrel and perhaps exceed that level if we see a prolonged outage of the Strait," Parmar said. 「我們預計（週末過後）開盤價格將更接近每桶 100 美元，且如果我們看到海峽長期中斷，價格甚至可能超過該水平，」Parmar 說。 Middle East leaders have warned Washington that a war on Iran could lead to oil prices jumping to more than $100 a barrel, said RBC analyst Helima Croft. Barclays analysts also said prices could hit $100. 加拿大皇家銀行（RBC）分析師 Helima Croft 表示，中東領導人此前已向華盛頓發出警告，稱對伊朗的戰爭可能導致油價跳漲至每桶 100 美元以上。巴克萊銀行（Barclays）的分析師也表示價格可能達到 100 美元。 The OPEC+ group of oil producers agreed on Sunday to raise output by 206,000 barrels per day (bpd) from April, a modest increase representing less than 0.2% of global demand. 由石油生產國組成的 OPEC+ 集團於週日達成協議，將從 4 月起每日增產 20.6 萬桶（ bpd），這一小幅增長僅佔全球需求不到 0.2%。 While some alternate infrastructure could be used to bypass the Strait of Hormuz, the net impact from its closure would be a loss of 8 million to 10 million bpd of crude oil supply even after diverting some flows through Saudi Arabia's East-West pipeline and Abu Dhabi pipeline, said Rystad energy economist Jorge Leon. 睿咨得能源（Rystad Energy）經濟學家 Jorge Leon 表示，雖然可以使用一些替代基礎設施來繞過霍爾木茲海峽，但即便在將部分流量分流至沙烏地阿拉伯的「東西管道」和阿布達比管道後，海峽關閉帶來的淨影響仍將導致每日 800 萬至 1,000 萬桶的原油供應損失。 Rystad expects prices to rise by $20 to about $92 a barrel when trade opens. The Iran crisis also prompted Asian governments and refiners to assess oil stockpiles and alternative shipping routes and supplies. Rystad 預計當市場開盤時，油價將上漲 20 美元，達到每桶約 92 美元。伊朗危機也促使亞洲各國政府和煉油廠開始評估石油庫存，以及尋找替代的運輸航線與供應來源。 P.S. 中文由Gemini翻譯員協助翻譯。心得/評論： A.I.的好處是可以直接幫我翻譯路透即時新聞XD 布蘭特原油場外交易已經到每桶80美元!! OPEC+那點增產量看樣子是來不及阿~ 油價如果繼續噴，通膨又要再起啦，期待的降息可能又要往後延，還是希望戰事能快點結束~ 各位石油大亨怎麼看呢? -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc), 來自: 123.194.22.120 (臺灣) ※ 文章網址: https://www.ptt.cc/bbs/Stock/M.1772376746.A.6F3.html

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